State of the race: Five takeaways from the US election this week | US Election 2024 News


With the US presidential election simply over three weeks away, the campaigns of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are going into overdrive, with last-minute appeals to voters.

Want a fast breakdown of the week’s largest political information? Look no additional.

We’ll get you in control with 5 key takeaways from the previous seven days and an outline of the place the candidates stand within the polls.

Donald Trump and Kamala Harris
Former US President Donald Trump and present Vice President Kamala Harris are headed for a showdown on November 5 [Eduardo Munoz and Nathan Howard/Reuters]

The election at a look

There are 23 days left earlier than the November 5 election.

  • Nationwide polling averages present Harris with slight lead

As of October 11, the polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight exhibits Vice President Kamala Harris up by 2.5 factors, with 48.5 p.c help in comparison with former President Donald Trump’s 46 p.c.

One other polling common, from the web site 270toWin, exhibits Harris once more with a marginal lead, with 49.3 p.c help. Trump, in the meantime, is at 46.5 p.c.

Harris, the Democrat, could possibly be poised to flip one among Trump’s key demographics: suburban voters.

On October 10, the information company Reuters and the market analysis ballot Ipsos launched a ballot that confirmed Harris led her Republican rival 47 p.c to 41 amongst suburbanites.

However two days later, The New York Occasions and Siena School launched a ballot that indicated Harris could possibly be slipping amongst Black voters. She pulled in 78 p.c help — a drop from the estimated 90 p.c help her fellow Democrat, Joe Biden, earned in 2020.

Floodwaters sit high on the houses in a flooded neighbourhood in South Daytona.
A automotive plies the floodwaters in a neighbourhood of South Daytona, Florida, on October 11, after the passage of Hurricane Milton [Ricardo Arduengo/Reuters]

Hurricane Milton turns into disinformation battleground

Inside three days of forming within the Gulf of Mexico, Hurricane Milton had billowed into a robust Class 5 storm, incomes the very best rating on the Saffir-Simpson scale.

Such fast improvement had hardly ever been seen. The Nationwide Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration dubbed Milton “one of the vital intense hurricanes on report within the Atlantic basin”.

And it was heading straight for Florida, the southernmost state within the contiguous United States.

However as Florida braced for impression, politicians have been getting ready not only for lashing wind and storm surges but in addition a flood of disinformation.

Swaths of the US South have been nonetheless recovering from September’s Hurricane Helene, and within the weeks since, Trump had made a sequence of false claims, together with that the Democrat-led federal authorities was “going out of their strategy to not assist individuals in Republican areas”.

On the night time Milton made landfall, outgoing President Joe Biden slapped back, utilizing his White Home remarks in regards to the storm to blast Trump, his erstwhile political rival.

“Over the previous few weeks, there’s been reckless and irresponsible and relentless promotion of disinformation and outright lies about what’s occurring,” Biden mentioned, calling the distortions “un-American”.

“Former President Trump has led this onslaught of lies,” he added.

Harris herself blasted Trump in remarks in Las Vegas. “This isn’t a time for individuals to play politics,” she mentioned, in reference to the Republican.

Kamala Harris sits across from Alex Cooper at the studio for the Call Her Daddy podcast.
Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris sits down with podcast host Alex Cooper [Call Her Daddy/Handout via Reuters]

Trump and Harris spar with mainstream media

As soon as criticised for failing to seem on the nationwide media circuit, Harris zipped from one interview to the following at first of this week, as a part of a recent media blitz.

It was a stark distinction to the beginning of her marketing campaign. After she introduced her candidacy on July 21, Harris failed to seem in any main interview till late August.

And even then, it was a joint interview together with her operating mate, Tim Walz. Her first solo interview got here a few weeks later, on September 13, with an area TV station in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

However previously week, Harris has cranked up the frequency of her media appearances. Within the house of two days, she appeared on the podcast Name Her Daddy, on the radio with The Howard Stern Present and on tv with talk-show appearances on The View and The Late Present with Stephen Colbert.

And her prerecorded interview with the vaunted TV newsmagazine 60 Minutes additionally aired on Monday.

That final interview was meant to be a part of a pair: 60 Minutes had invited Donald Trump to take a seat down for a recording as effectively.

However host Scott Pelley introduced that the Trump workforce had pulled out of the agreed-upon interview, citing “shifting explanations”, together with that the Republican is perhaps fact-checked on air.

The friction between Trump and 60 Minutes didn’t finish there. When a teaser model of the Harris interview confirmed the vp answering a query otherwise than she did within the longer model, Trump accused the newsmagazine of making an attempt to “make her look higher”.

He additionally known as on the Federal Communications Fee to “TAKE AWAY THE CBS LICENSE”. The remarks earned a rebuke from the fee’s chair, who warned that such an motion would threaten free speech.

Kamala Harris, with two lights visible behind her
Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris appears to be like on throughout a marketing campaign occasion in Chandler, Arizona, on October 10 [Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters]

Harris touts well being as benefit over Trump

By a lot of the 2024 election, questions of well being and competency have loomed massive — even dooming one candidate’s run.

After a dismal debate efficiency in June, the 81-year-old Biden was compelled out of the presidential race amid questions on his age and skill to steer. It was the end result of months of hypothesis and assaults, as Trump dug into Biden as a “weak” and “sleepy” outdated man.

However at 78 years outdated, Trump himself has confronted questions on his age and psychological competency.

These questions got here again into the highlight this week. Final Sunday, The New York Occasions ran a narrative analysing Trump’s “rambling” and more and more longwinded speeches, questioning whether or not his speech patterns mirrored the toll of age.

After which, on Saturday, the White Home launched a memo touting his Democratic rival’s health.

The 59-year-old Harris, it learn, “possesses the bodily and psychological resiliency required to efficiently execute the duties of the Presidency”.

Trump has lengthy touted his efficiency on cognitive assessments as proof of his skills. On Saturday, his marketing campaign spokesperson Steven Cheung responded to the media scrutiny with a statement, arguing that Harris “doesn’t have the stamina” of Trump.

“All have concluded he’s in excellent and wonderful well being to be Commander in Chief,” Cheung wrote of Trump.

Donald Trump speaks at a rally, as people hold up signs that read "47" behind him.
Former President Donald Trump holds a marketing campaign rally in Reno, Nevada, on October 11 [Fred Greaves/Reuters]

Trump lays out blueprint for anti-immigrant agenda

On the marketing campaign path this week, Trump ratcheted up his assaults on migrants within the US, persevering with a streak of false and incendiary claims.

Immigration has been one of many defining problems with Trump’s political profession, and he has gone to nice lengths to undertaking a hardline picture.

However critics warn his nativist rhetoric has grown more and more excessive, echoing the emotions of white supremacists and different controversial figures.

On Monday, Trump recorded an audio interview with the Hugh Hewitt Present, the place he repeated false claims that murderers have been crossing the border into the US en masse.

“A lot of them murdered far a couple of individual, and so they’re now fortunately residing in the US,” Trump mentioned. “Now a assassin, I imagine this: It’s of their genes. And we’ve bought plenty of dangerous genes in our nation proper now.”

The Republican continued to play up the spectre of immigrants as criminals in appearances all through the week, most notably on Friday.

Speaking in Aurora, Colorado, Trump pledged that, if re-elected, he would use his first days in workplace to “expedite the elimination” of “savage gangs” from overseas, in addition to invoke the Alien Enemies Act of 1798, a wartime regulation, as a device for mass deportation.

He additionally known as for the demise penalty for migrants who killed US residents.

Regardless of Trump’s portrayals of lawlessness, research have proven that undocumented immigrants commit crimes at far decrease charges than US-born residents.

A Trump supporter holds up both hands in fists as the former president speaks in front of him at a rally.
A supporter cheers as Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump speaks throughout a rally in Coachella, California, on October 12 [Mike Blake/Reuters]

Bob Woodward’s e-book paints unflattering portrait

Reporter Bob Woodward holds near-mythic standing within the US journalism sphere.

In 1972, he and his Washington Put up colleague Carl Bernstein helped reveal President Richard Nixon’s function within the Watergate scandal, thereby precipitating the politician’s eventual resignation.

Since then, Woodward has printed dozens of books, purporting to indicate the internal machinations of US politics. His newest, touchdown proper within the midst of the heated presidential race, provided an unflattering glimpse of Trump’s alleged relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Entitled Conflict, the e-book was launched to information retailers on Tuesday prematurely of touchdown on bookstore cabinets.

In its pages, an unnamed aide alleged Trump known as Putin at the very least seven occasions since leaving workplace. The e-book additionally claimed that, on the top of the COVID-19 pandemic, Trump despatched virus-testing machines that have been in brief provide to Putin.

Information retailers have since struggled to independently confirm a number of the e-book’s most headline-grabbing claims. And Trump’s workforce refuted them fully, calling Woodward an “offended, little man”.

“None of those made up tales by Bob Woodward are true and are the work of a really demented and deranged man,” Cheung, Trump’s spokesperson, wrote in a press release.

However the e-book does include some high-profile named sources, together with the previous head of the Joint Chiefs of Workers, Mark Milley — as soon as the highest-ranking navy officer within the US.

He tells Woodward within the e-book that Trump is “fascist to the core”.

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